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Analysts Are Still Very Optimistic About BTC in 2024 

Bitcoin struggled to maintain its $60,000 level on Sunday after briefly surpassing that mark the previous day. This occurred as broader market indices approached record highs last Friday, driven by investor activity.

On Saturday, Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, briefly reached approximately $60,340 BTC/USDT on Gate.io. However, it has since dropped by 1.7%, currently hovering around $58,650, according to data from CoinGecko.

Despite the ongoing uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market, some analysts and trading desks continue to hold a positive outlook for the rest of the year.

Opinions on BTC Price 

A trading firm called QCP expressed confidence in a note to investors late Friday, stating they remain optimistic and constructive as the year-end approaches. They noted that one promising sign is the market’s ability to withstand various supply-related concerns that have surfaced for both Bitcoin and Ethereum this week. Several challenges remain for the crypto sector through the remainder of 2024, including geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and uncertainty surrounding the upcoming U.S. presidential election.

However, the chief investment officer at crypto fund manager Merkle Tree Capital, believes that Bitcoin’s current indecision is less influenced by the broader macroeconomic environment and more by market apprehensions regarding the distribution of Mt. Gox assets to creditors. The speculation surrounding these coin distributions has contributed to Bitcoin’s recent price decline, as traders often anticipate potential selling pressure when large amounts of Bitcoin are moved.

The Mt. Gox estate, responsible for distributing funds to creditors affected by a decade-old hack of the now-defunct exchange, still holds nearly $2.7 billion worth of Bitcoin, based on data monitored by Arkham Intelligence. Experts suggest that the current situation might also be influenced by seasonal factors, mentioning that August and September are typically weaker months for Bitcoin. He added that the market might be experiencing the effects of the low liquidity typical of the summer period.

There is also an acknowledgement that macroeconomic trends are progressing positively, predicting a similar upward trend for Bitcoin as seen almost a year ago when it surpassed $40,000 for the first time in 17 months. Another notable opinion leader in the crypto space anticipates that the crypto market may experience six months of consolidation leading into early 2025, followed by a robust six-month rally to new highs. This comes as major U.S. stock indices saw gains on Friday, with the S&P 500 increasing by 0.2%, the Nasdaq rising about 0.1%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining 0.24%.

Past Big BTC Bull Runs

Bitcoin price has experienced several significant bull runs since its inception in 2009, each marking a key moment in its history and driving broader interest and adoption of digital assets.

One of the earliest and most notable bull runs occurred in 2013. At the start of the year, Bitcoin was trading at around $13. By April, it had surged to over $260, driven largely by increased media attention and the growing use of Bitcoin in online transactions. However, the rally was short-lived, and the price quickly fell back to about $50. Later that year, Bitcoin experienced another meteoric rise, breaking the $1,000 mark for the first time in December. This surge was fueled by a combination of factors, including speculation, increased adoption, and the entrance of more sophisticated traders into the market.

The next major bull run began in late 2016 and reached its peak in December 2017. This period is often referred to as the “ICO boom,” as the rise of initial coin offerings (ICOs) played a significant role in driving demand for Bitcoin. Starting at around $1,000 in January 2017, Bitcoin’s price skyrocketed throughout the year, eventually reaching an all-time high of nearly $20,000 by December. The frenzy around Bitcoin was driven by widespread media coverage, growing public interest, and the influx of institutional investors. However, this bull run ended with a sharp correction, leading to a prolonged bear market throughout 2018.

Another historic bull run began in late 2020, carrying through to early 2021. This rally saw Bitcoin’s price break its previous all-time high, eventually reaching over $64,000 in April 2021. The surge was driven by a combination of factors, including the increasing adoption of Bitcoin by institutional investors, corporations adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets, and growing interest from retail investors. The economic uncertainty caused by the COVID-19 pandemic also contributed, as investors sought alternative assets in response to global monetary policies. This bull run was notable not only for the price levels reached but also for the mainstream adoption of Bitcoin, with major companies like Tesla and financial institutions openly supporting cryptocurrency.

Each of these bull runs has significantly impacted Bitcoin’s perception and adoption, helping to solidify its position as a leading asset in the global financial system. While these rallies have been followed by corrections, they have each set new benchmarks for Bitcoin’s potential and expanded the cryptocurrency’s influence across markets and industries.

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